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Brent crude $92.05/bbl 11.0% wk
TTF Gas 45.96/MWh 5.6% wk
Hormuz status Closed Iran MOU pending signature
Next issue Monday Monday, 08:00 CET
When Hormuz reopens, that additional supply lands in a market where demand has already broken.
Crude · Issue No. 02 · 25 May 2026

Energy information exists.
Useful energy analysis doesn't.

The terminals are dense. The newsletters are shallow. Between them sits the question every investor actually has: what does this mean for me?

Bloomberg / IEA / Platts

Dense, expensive, built for professionals.

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Generic Macro Newsletters

Energy gets a sentence. Maybe two.

Forty pages on equity flows. A paragraph on oil. Even though oil is what moves everything else.

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A European lens on the market that moves the world.

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Data-driven analysis that goes beyond the headline and takes a position. Four sections. One thesis per issue. Always actionable.

01
Current Prices
Where Brent and natural gas closed this week, what moved them, and what the market is signalling.
02
Lead Story
One topic examined in depth, with a clear thesis, real data, and analysis that goes beyond the headline.
03
Geopolitics
The political and strategic forces shaping energy supply, prices, and European security.
04
In Focus
A rotating spotlight on the part of the market that mattered most this week: refining, infrastructure, production, commodities.

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Issue No. 01
Week of 18th May 2026
THIS WEEK Brent near $109 · 246M bbl drawdown · EU gas storage crisis
Depleted Inventories Mean High Prices Outlast Any Ceasefire
The math does not forgive

Brent crude settled near $109/bbl on 16 May, a weekly gain of 8.1%. TTF gas closed near €50/MWh, up over 11%. The IEA's 13 May report shows global oil inventories fell 246 million barrels across March and April. The steepest two-month drawdown on record.

A ceasefire does not change the inventory arithmetic. The deficit outlasts any deal.

Read the Full Analysis
Total Global Observed Inventories
Source: IEA Oil Market Report, 13 May 2026
IEA inventories chart, 2021-2026
2026 inventories collapse through Mar-Apr.
Stocks fell 246M bbl in eight weeks after the Hormuz closure. The steepest drawdown on record.
Beijing agreed on Hormuz and offered no mechanism
Statements without action cost Europe

At the Beijing summit, Trump and Xi agreed Hormuz must reopen, but offered no enforcement mechanism. Europe absorbs the direct cost as Russian Arctic LNG imports rise 17.2% YoY.

Read the Full Analysis
Europe enters injection season at historic gas storage lows
Winter 2026-27 risk rising

EU gas storage at 34.3% of capacity, 20 points below seasonal norm. Daily injection rate needed to hit 80% by 1 November exceeds anything achieved in five years.

Read the Full Analysis

Written from Europe,
with skin in the game.

Crude is written by European finance students and investors based across the continent, in Spain, Germany, Austria, and Ukraine. If you live in Europe, energy security is not an abstract concept. You felt it when Russian gas stopped flowing. You feel it when tensions in the Strait of Hormuz push your energy bill higher. That context is in every issue.

🇪🇺 Writing in Europe, about Europe's energy reality

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